Analyzing complexities in the Brazilian soybean supply chain: a systems thinking and modeling approach
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.1108/RAUSP-03-2021-0053Keywords:
Brazil, Systems thinking, Causal loop modelAbstract
PurposeThis study aims to analyze the complexities of the Brazilian soybean supply chain (SSC) and develop strategic interventions to improve the origin system’s performance.
Design/methodology/approachThis study used stakeholder interviews to identify the SSC bottlenecks and determine and assess drivers of competitiveness. A methodological framework based on the systems thinking approach for developing long-term structural changes was used. The problem was structured using behavior over time graph and causal loop modeling to propose three investment strategies to solve the logistics problem in SSC.
FindingsThis study highlights the gaps in coordination between stakeholders and the public sector regarding the public policy for infrastructure investment. Three strategic interventions were developed to address the agro-industrial logistical problem, namely, investment in storage, multimodal transport systems and improvements in existing transport infrastructure. To overcome transport and storage logistics limitations, the authors suggest different forms of partnerships, including public-private partnerships.
Research limitations/implicationsThis research is limited to evaluating an agricultural commodity (soybean) and does not include its by-products. The sample of stakeholders was limited and the boundary of analysis was Brazil. Nevertheless, the study showed how strategic interventions could be developed following a holistic analysis.
Practical implicationsThe proposed integrated approach illustrates the development of three strategic initiatives. It can be implemented by stakeholders, including the public sector, which is the basis for providing assertive long-term investments in Brazilian logistics.
Social implicationsThe SSC analysis could promote the implementation of systemically determined interventions and strategies. It could significantly improve the performance of agricultural systems and help the formulation of public policies aimed at rural development.
Originality/valueThe use of system dynamics to identify intervention points is an essential contribution to mitigating the SSC’s hindrances. Moreover, the combining methodologies resulted in comprehensive intervention strategies.
Downloads
References
Agência Nacional de Transportes Terrestres – ANTT. (2021). Anuário do setor ferroviário. Retrieved from https://portal.antt.gov.br/anuario-do-setor-ferroviario
Araujo, D. D. N., & Souza Filho, H. D. (2018). Direcionadores de competitividade na cadeia produtiva da polpa do açaí no nordeste paraense. CEP, 66, 540.
Associação Brasileira das Indústrias de Óleos Vegetais – ABIOVE. (2020). Moratória Da soja – relatório 12° ano. Retrieved from https://abiove.org.br/relatorios/moratoria-da-soja-relatorio-12o-ano/
Banson, K. E., Nguyen, N. C., & Bosch, O. J. (2018). A systems thinking approach to the structure, conduct and performance of the agricultural sector in Ghana. Systems Research and Behavioral Science, 35(1), 39–57. doi: 10.1002/sres.2437.
Batalha, M. O., & Silva, A. D. (2014). Gerenciamento de sistemas agroindustriais: definições, especificidades e correntes metodológicas. Gestão Agroindustrial, 1, 31–38.
Batalha, M. O., & Souza Filho, H. M. (2009). Analisando a competitividade de cadeias agroindustriais: uma proposição metodológica. Agronegócio no MERCOSUL: uma agenda Para o desenvolvimento. São Paulo: Atlas, 1–22.
Bonato, G. (2016). New titans on the block: ABCDs lose top Brazil grains spot to asian rivals. São Paulo, 23. Retrieved from www.reuters.com/article/us-brazil-grains-idUSKCN0WP19
Branco, J. E. H. Bartholomeu, D. B. Junior, P. N. A., & Caixeta Filho, J. V. (2020). Evaluation of the economic and environmental impacts from the addition of new railways to the Brazilian's transportation network: an application of a network equilibrium model. Transport Policy, doi: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2020.03.011.
Brasil, R. F. (2019). Anuário estatístico de transportes 2010 – 2019. Retrieved from https://ontl.epl.gov.br/publicacoes/anuario-estatistico/
Brasil, R. F. (2018). Anuário estatístico de transportes 2010-2017. Brasília: Ministério dos Transportes, Portos e Aviação Civil. Retrieved from http://transportes.gov.br/images/BIT_TESTE/Publica%C3%A7oes/Apresentacao_AET_2018.pdf
Brasil, R. F. (2004). Brasília: Diário Oficial da União. Lei n° 11.079, de 30 de dezembro de 2004, Retrieved from www.planalto.gov.br/ccivil_03/_Ato2004-2006/2004/Lei/L11079.htm.
Brasil, R. F. (2005). Brasília: Diário Oficial da União. Lei n° 11.105, de 24 de março de 2005, Retrieved from www.planalto.gov.br/ccivil_03/_Ato20042006/2005/Lei/L11105.htm
Brasil, R. F. (2015). Brasília: Diário Oficial da União. Lei n° 13.195, de 25 de novembro de 2015Retrieved from www.planalto.gov.br/ccivil_03/_Ato2015-2018/2015/Lei/L13195.htm
Brasil, R. F. (1996). Brasília: Diário Oficial da União. Accessed October 24. Lei Complementar n° 87 (LEI KANDIR), de 13 de setembro de 1996 (2018). Retriebed from www.planalto.gov.br/ccivil_03/LEIS/LCP/Lcp87.htm.
Caetano, J. M. Tessarolo, G. de Oliveira, G. e Souza, K. D. S. Diniz-Filho, J. A. F., & Nabout, J. C. (2018). Geographical patterns in climate and agricultural technology drive soybean productivity in Brazil. PloS one, p. 13.
Chambers, R. (1981). Rapid rural appraisal: rationale and repertoire. Public Administration and Development, 1(2), 95–106. doi: 10.1002/pad.4230010202.
César, A. D. S., & Batalha, M. O. (2011). Análise dos direcionadores de competitividade sobre a cadeia produtiva de biodiesel: o caso da mamona. Production, 21(3), 484–497. doi: 10.1590/S0103-65132011005000039.
Companhia Nacional de Abastecimento – CONAB (2018). Perdas na logística de granéis sólidos agrícolas no Brasil. Perdas em transporte e armazenagem de grãos. Retrieved from http://www.paranacooperativo.coop.br/PPC/images/Comunicacao/2021/noticias/02/23/publicacao/publicacao_clique_aqui_23_02_2021.pdf#page=117.
Companhia Nacional de Abastecimento – CONAB. (2021). Rede armazenadora da conab. Retrieve from Retrieved from www.conab.gov.br/armazenagem/rede-armazenadora-da-conab?view=default
Companhia Nacional de Abastecimento – CONAB. (2020). Acompanhamento da safra brasileira de grãos. Retrieved from www.conab.gov.br/info-agro/safras/serie-historica-das-safras
Companhia Nacional de Abastecimento – CONAB (2019a). Série histórica da capacidade estática. Retrieved from www.conab.gov.br/armazenagem/serie-historica-da-armazenagem
Companhia Nacional de Abastecimento – CONAB. (2019b). Série histórica das safras. Retrieved from www.conab.gov.br/info-agro/safras/serie-historica-das-safras
Confederação Nacional do Transporte – CNT. (2018). Boletins. Retrieved from www.cnt.org.br/boletins
Confederação Nacional do Transporte – CNT. (2021). Conjuntura do transporte. Retrieved from https://www.cnt.org.br/analises-transporte
Confederação Nacional do Transporte – CNT. (2017). Investimentos em infraestrutura de transporte do programa de aceleração do crescimento (PAC) não cumpriram seus objetivos. Retrieved fom Retrieved from https://repositorio.itl.org.br/jspui/bitstream/123456789/244/1/Economia%20em%20Foco_2017_12_Investimentos%20em%20infraestrutura%20de%20transporte%20do%20PAC%20n%C3%A3o%20cumpriram%20seus%20objetivos.pdf
Conselho de Informações sobre Biotecnologia – CIB. (2016). Soja transgênica: guia completo Para você tirar todas as suas dúvidas. Retrieved from Retrieved from https://cib.org.br/soja-transgenica/
Dall'agnol, A., Roessing, A. C., Lazzarotto, J. J., Hirakuri, M. H., & De Oliveira, A. B. (2007). O complexo agroindustrial da soja brasileira. Embrapa Soja-Circular Técnica (INFOTECA-E), 43, 1–12.
Danao, M. G. C., Zandonadi, R. S., & Gates, R. S. (2015). Development of a grain monitoring probe to measure temperature, relative humidity, carbon dioxide levels and logistical information during handling and transportation of soybeans. Computers and Electronics in Agriculture, 119, 74–82. doi: 10.1016/j.compag.2015.10.008.
da Silva, V. P., van der Werf, H. M., Spies, A., & Soares, S. R. (2010). Variability in environmental impacts of brazilian soybean according to crop production and transport scenarios. Journal of Environmental Management, 91(9), 1831–1839. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2010.04.001.
Eichler, S. E., Kline, K. L., Ortiz-Monasterio, I., Lopez-Ridaura, S., & Dale, V. H. (2020). Rapid appraisal using landscape sustainability indicators for yaqui valley. Environmental and Sustainability Indicators, 6, 100029 doi: 10.1016/j.indic.2020.100029.
Elias, A. A. (2017). Systems thinking and modelling for stakeholder management. IIM Kozhikode Society & Management Review, 6(2), 123–131. doi: 10.1177/2277975216681105.
Elias, A. A., & Davis, D. (2018). Analysing public sector continuous improvement: a systems approach. International Journal of Public Sector Management, 31(1), 2–13. doi: 10.1108/IJPSM-08-2016-0135.
Ellman, A. (1981). Rapid appraisal for rural project preparation. Agricultural Administration, 8(6), 463–471. doi: 10.1016/0309-586X(81)90040-6.
Empresa Brasileira de Pesquisa Agropecuária – EMBRAPA. (2018). Soja em números (safra 2019/20). Retrieved from www.embrapa.br/soja/cultivos/soja1/dados-economicos
Esteves, M. C. P., Oliveira, A. L. R., & Milanez, A. P. (2020). Exportações de produtos agrícolas e o ambiente portuário: a perspectiva da teoria dos custos de transação. Revista de Economia e Sociologia Rural, 58(1), 1–14. doi: 10.1590/1806-9479.2020.192957.
Ferreira Filho, J. B. D. S., & Vian, C. E. D. F. (2016). The evolving role of large and medium farms on brazilian agriculture. Agricultural Economics, 47(S1), 215–225. doi: 10.1111/agec.12310.
Filippi, A. C. G., & Guarnieri, P. (2019). Novas formas de organização rural: os condomínios de armazéns rurais. Revista de Economia e Sociologia Rural, 57(2), 270–287. doi: 10.1590/1806-9479.2019.177593.
Fliehr, O., Zimmer, Y., & Smith, L. H. (2019). Impacts of transportation and logistics on brazilian soybean prices and exports. Transportation Journal, 58(1), 65–77.
Garrett, R. D., Lambin, E. F., & Naylor, R. L. (2013). Land institutions and supply chain configurations as determinants of soybean planted area and yields in Brazil. Land Use Policy, 31, 385–396. doi: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2012.08.002.
Goneli, A. L. D. (2021)., 75–86. Perdas em transporte e armazenagem de grãos: Panorama atual e perspectivas. In Machado Junior, P. C. & Reis Neto, S. A. (Orgs.), Perdas em transporte e armanenagem de grãos: panorama atual e perspectivas. Brasília: Conab,
He, R., Zhu, D., Chen, X., Cao, Y., Chen, Y., & Wang, X. (2019). How the trade barrier changes environmental costs of agricultural production: an implication derived from china's demand for soybean caused by the US-China trade war. Journal of Cleaner Production, 227, 578–588. doi: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.04.192.
Jia, F., Peng, S., Green, J., Koh, L., & Chen, X. (2020). SSC management and sustainability: a systematic literature review. Journal of Cleaner Production, 255, 120254 doi: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.120254.
Kamali, F. P., Meuwissen, M. P., de Boer, I. J., van Middelaar, C. E., Moreira, A., & Lansink, A. G. O. (2017). Evaluation of the environmental, economic, and social performance of soybean farming systems in southern Brazil. Journal of Cleaner Production, 142, 385–394, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2016.03.135.
Kreter, A. C., Souza Junior, J. R. D. C., Staduto, J. A. R., & Oliveira, N. S. M. N. (2018). Impactos iniciais da greve dos caminhoneiros no setor agropecuário. Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada (Ipea), 39, 1–4.
Kumar, K. (1993). Rapid appraisal methods, Washington, DC DC: World Bank. xiii, 218 p.
Lima, D. P., Fioriolli, J. C., Padula, A. D., & Pumi, G. (2018). The impact of chinese imports of soybean on port infrastructure in Brazil: a study based on the concept of the. Journal of Commodity Markets, 9, 55–76. doi: 10.1016/j.jcomm.2017.11.001.
Lopes, H. S., Lima, R. S., Leal, F., & Nelson, A. C. (2017). Scenario analysis of brazilian soybean exports via discrete event simulation applied to soybean transportation: the case of Mato Grosso state. Research in Transportation Business & Management, 25, 66–75. doi: 10.1016/j.rtbm.2017.09.002.
Lopes, H. S., Lima, R. S., & Leal, F. (2020). Simulation project for logistics of brazilian soybean exportation. International Journal of Simulation Modelling (Modelling), 19(4) doi: 10.2507/IJSIMM19-4-529.
Lopes, E. P. (2021). Logística de escoamento dos produtos agropecuários no brasil: estrangulamentos dos fluxos de exportação. P. C. Machado Junior, & S. A. Reis Neto, (Orgs.) pp. 87–99. Brasília: Conab. InPerdas em transporte e armanenagem de grãos: panorama atual e perspectivas p.
Lourenzani, A. E. B. S., & Silva, A. L. D. (2004). Um estudo da competitividade dos diferentes canais de distribuição de hortaliças. Gestão & Produção, 11(3), 385–398. doi: 10.1590/S0104-530X2004000300011.
Maani, K. E., & Cavana, R. Y. (2000). Systems thinking and modelling: Understanding change and complexity, Auckland: Prentice Hall.
Maltsoglou, I., Kojakovic, A., Rincón, L. E., Felix, E., Branca, G., Valle, S., … Thofern, H. (2015). Combining bioenergy and food security: an approach and rapid appraisal to guide bioenergy policy formulation. Biomass and Bioenergy, 79, 80–95. doi: 10.1016/j.biombioe.2015.02.007.
Mardaneh, E., Loxton, R., Meka, S., & Gamble, L. (2021). A decision support system for grain harvesting, storage, and distribution logistics. Knowledge-Based Systems, 223, 8 doi: 10.1016/j.knosys.2021.107037.
Melo, I. C., Péra, T. G., Júnior, P. N. A., do Nascimento Rebelatto, D. A., & Caixeta-Filho, J. V. (2020). Framework for logistics performance index construction using DEA: an application for soybean haulage in Brazil. Transportation Research Procedia, 48, 3090–3106. doi: 10.1016/j.trpro.2020.08.179.
Ministério da Agricultura, Pecuária e Abastecimento – MAPA. (2019). Crédito rural. Retrieved from www.gov.br/agricultura/pt-br/assuntos/politica-agricola/copy_of_arquivos/DesempenhoCrditoRuraldez19.pdf/view
Ministério da Indústria, Comércio Exterior e Serviços – MDIC. (2019). Base de dados do comex stat. Retrieved from http://comexstat.mdic.gov.br/pt/geral
Ministério da Infraestrutura – MINFRA. (2019). Séries históricas de investimento. Retrieved from https://infraestrutura.gov.br/images/SITE_-_Investimento_e_Invers%C3%A3o_-_Fechado.pdf
Mogale, D. G., Kumar, S. K., & Tiwari, M. K. (2018). An MINLP model to support the movement and storage decisions of the indian food grain supply chain. Control Engineering Practice, 70, 98–113. doi: 10.1016/j.conengprac.2017.09.017.
Muflikh, Y. N., Smith, C., Brown, C., & Aziz, A. A. (2021). Analysing price volatility in agricultural value chains using systems thinking: a case study of the indonesian chilli value chain. Agricultural Systems, 192, 103179 doi: 10.1016/j.agsy.2021.103179.
Mwongera, C., Shikuku, K. M., Twyman, J., Läderach, P., Ampaire, E., Van Asten, P., … Winowiecki, L. A. (2017). Climate smart agriculture rapid appraisal (CSA-RA): a tool for prioritizing context-specific climate smart agriculture technologies. Agricultural Systems, 151, 192–203. doi: 10.1016/j.agsy.2016.05.009.
Nourbakhsh, S. M., Bai, Y., Maia, G. D., Ouyang, Y., & Rodriguez, L. (2016). Grain supply chain network design and logistics planning for reducing post-harvest loss. Biosystems Engineering, 151, 105–115. doi: 10.1016/j.biosystemseng.2016.08.011.
Oliveira, A. L. R., & Silveira, J. M. (2013). Restructuring of the corn supply chain in Brazil: facing the challenges in logistics or regulation of biotechnology. International food and Agribusiness Management Review, 16(4), 1–24.
Oliveira, A. L. R., (2014). A logística do agronegócio: Para além do “apagão logístico. O mundo rural no brasil do século 21: a formação de um novo padrão agrário e agrícola, pp. 339–369. Brasília, DF: Embrapa. In., & Buainain, A. M. et al. v.1.
Oliveira, A. L. R. (2015). Logística de etanol no brasil. Futuros do bioetanol: o brasil na liderança, Rio de Janeiro: Elsevier. 9–33.
Oliveira, A. L. R., & Alvim, A. M. (2017). The supply chain of brazilian maize and soybeans: the effects of segregation on logistics and competitiveness. International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, 20(1), 45 1030-2017-2136), doi: 10.22434/IFAMR2016.0084.
Oliveira, G. D. L., & Schneider, M. (2016). The politics of flexing soybeans: China, Brazil and global agroindustrial restructuring. The Journal of Peasant Studies, 43(1), 167–194, https://doi.org/10.1080/03066150.2014.993625.
Oliveira, A. L. R. D., Filassi, M., Lopes, B. F. R., & Marsola, K. B. (2021). Logistical transportation routes optimization for brazilian soybean: an application of the origin-destination matrix. Ciência Rural, 51(2) doi: 10.1590/0103-8478cr20190786.
Perá, T. G., & Caixeta-Filho, J. V. (2021). Perdas na logística de granéis sólidos agrícolas no brasil. in P. C. Machado Junior, & S. A. Reis Neto, (Orgs.) Perdas em transporte e armanenagem de grãos: panorama atual e perspectivas, Brasília: Conab. 117–125.
Pompermayer, F. M. Campos Neto, C. ÁD. S., & de Paula, J. M. P. (2014). Hidrovias no brasil: Perspectiva histórica custos e institucionalidade. Texto Para discussão (no. 1931).
Reis, S. A., & Leal, J. E. (2015). A deterministic mathematical model to support temporal and spatial decisions of the soybean supply chain. Journal of Transport Geography, 43, 48–58, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2015.01.005.
Reis, J. G. M., Sanches Amorim, P., Sarsfield Pereira Cabral, J. A., & Toloi, R. C. (2020). The impact of logistics performance on Argentina, Brazil, and the US soybean exports from 2012 to 2018: a gravity model approach. Agriculture (Switzerland), 10(8), 338.
Santos, M., & Glass, V. (2018). Atlas do agronegócio: fatos e números sobre as corporações que controlam o que comemos. Fundação heinrich böll. Retrieved from https://br.boell.org/pt-br/2018/09/04/atlas-do-agronegocio-fatos-e-numeros-sobre-corporacoes-que-controlam-o-que-comemos
Senge, P. M. (2006). The fifth discipline: the art and practice of the learning organization, Doubleday/Currency. 445.
Schut, M., Klerkx, L., Rodenburg, J., Kayeke, J., Hinnou, L. C., Raboanarielina, C. M., … Bastiaans, L. (2015). RAAIS: Rapid appraisal of agricultural innovation systems (part I). a diagnostic tool for integrated analysis of complex problems and innovation capacity. Agricultural Systems, 132, 1–11. doi: 10.1016/j.agsy.2014.08.009.
Silva, F. P., & Lapo, L. E. R. (2012). Modelos de financiamento da cadeia de grãos no Brasil. In 2a Conferência em Gestão de Risco e Comercialização de Commodities. São Paulo, SP. Retrieved from www.bmfbovespa.com.br/CGRCC/download/Modelos-de-financiamento-da-cadeia-de-graos-no-Brasil.pdf
Silva, M. A. V., & D’Agosto, M. A. (2013). A model to estimate the origin–destination matrix for soybean exportation in Brazil. Journal of Transport Geography, 26, 97–107, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2012.08.011.
Sterman, J. (2010). Business dynamics, Irwin/McGraw-Hill c2000. 982.
Toloi, R. C., Reis, J. G. M., Vendrametto, O., Machado, S. T., Rodrigues, E. F. (2016). How to improve the logistics issues during crop soybean in Mato Grosso State Brazil. 6th International Conference on Information Systems, Logistics and Supply Chain., Bordeaux. Anais… In: International Conference on Information Systems, Logistics and Supply Chain-Ils. Bordeaux: KEDGE Business School.
United States Department of Agriculture – USDA. (2020). Oilseeds. World Markets and Trade. Retrieved from https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads
United States Department of Agriculture – USDA. (2021). Oilseeds. World Markets and Trade.Retrieved from www.fas.usda.gov/data/oilseeds-world-markets-and-trade
van Duren, E., Martin, L., & Westgren, R. (1991). Assessing the competitiveness of canada's agrifood industry. Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue Canadienne D'agroeconomie, 39(4), 727–738. doi: 10.1111/j.1744-7976.1991.tb03630.x.
Wetzstein, B., Florax, R., Foster, K., & Binkley, J. (2021). Transportation costs: Mississippi river barge rates. Journal of Commodity Markets, 21, 100123. doi: 10.1016/j.jcomm.2019.100123.
William, W., Dahl, B., & Hertsgaard, D. (2020). Soybean quality differentials, blending, testing and spatial arbitrage. Journal of Commodity Markets, 18, 100095. doi: 10.1016/j.jcomm.2019.100095.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Management Department of the School of Economics, Management and Accounting of the University of São Paulo.
The publication of article segments is allowed, subject to prior authorization and source identification.
Copyright is regulated under Licença Creative Commons Attribution
Funding data
-
Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo
Grant numbers 2018/19571-1 -
Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior