Credit risk and the conventional and unconventional monetary policies: the Brazilian case
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.11606/1980-5330/ea146034Keywords:
credit risk, monetary policy, reserve requirementsAbstract
Banking credit is an important channel of transmission of monetary and financial shocks to the real side of the economy. This paper investigates the relationship between credit risk and monetary policy, conducted in both conventional and non-conventional ways, and analyzes the effects and channels of transmission of exogenous shocks on credit risk, nominal interest rate and reserve requirements to the business cycle. The model by Gertler & Karadi (2011) is modified to incorporate endogenous credit risk given by the probability of default in bank loans by the firm. The results of simulations for the Brazilian economy indicate a countercyclical default rate, which acts to compensate banks for losses with the "bad" payers. A more aggressive countercyclical reserve requirements rule contributes to stabilize the business cycle without significantly affecting credit risk.