Mensurando impactos de políticas nacionais em uma região: SAMBA+REG
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.1590/1980-53575345cifjvPalavras-chave:
SAMBA, Modelos DSGE, Economia regionalResumo
Este artigo apresenta uma metodologia empírica para analisar a propagação de choques agregados entre regiões. Embora focando especificamente no caso do Brasil e do Ceará, a metodologia proposta pode ser facilmente adaptada para examinar outras regiões também. Desenvolvemos um modelo dinâmico, chamado SAMBA+REG, que complementa o modelo DSGE do Banco Central do Brasil (SAMBA) ao incorporar elementos regionais. Esse arcabouço teórico nos permite explorar como choques agregados impactam uma região específica. Realizamos simulações de choques fiscais e monetários, e os resultados estão alinhados com a literatura existente. O SAMBA+REG não apenas facilita a avaliação dos efeitos das políticas econômicas do governo central em uma economia regional, mas também oferece insights sobre várias estratégias para os governos estaduais responderem de forma eficaz a essas políticas.
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Copyright (c) 2023 Christiano Modesto Penna, Isadora Osterno, Flavio Ataliba, José Weligton Gomes, Vitor Monteiro
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Fundação Cearense de Apoio ao Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico
Números do Financiamento 06849024/2019
Atualizado em 02/08/2024